Secrets of Residential Solar Lease – Sweet Deal or Disastrous Rip-off?
Alright folks, it’s here! A solution that gives access to solar power even to the most cash strapped green minded suburbanites and… it’s brought to you by the very people who delivered to us the sub-rime mortgage debacle. It’s called a “residential solar lease” which is a “no money down” program that can get you electricity cheaper than what you cash out to PG&E on monthly basis. Sounds familiar?
The idea is simple; instead of buying your panels by dishing out thousands of dollars upfront you lease them for “one low monthly fee.” You win, the solar company wins, environment is happy. So what’s not to love? How about a 15 year contract, a 3.9% increased payment every year and our Wall Street friends who have their fingers all over this sweet deal?
On the surface, this sounds like a viable option for many home owners. It solves an expensive problem of purchasing the panels outright for around 27,000 dollars (average 1,700 sq. foot home). It works a bit like a car lease where home owners sign a deal that locks them in for 15 years with the option of extending their lease or buying the panels at the end of the contract. With a solar lease, your monthly payments can be around $110 which, according to the service providers, will normally be around 15% less than your PG&E bill. Are you sold yet?
After all, the way these companies and even our media like to paint it – it’s a no brainer deal. SolarCity, which is based right here in our backyard of Silicon Valley, is one of the very well financed operations that is the first to start aggressively market this contract for home owners all over Bay Area and western states. SunRun is another similar co. based in San Francisco.
Who really finances these deals? Banks on Wallstreet of course. And there’s serious money to be made… “Investors historically expect seven percent to eight percent, which includes the tax benefits and a slice of profit during the life of the fund,” wrote Green Tech Media about the amazing profits being squeezed out of the residential solar market. “Now they want ten percent or more.” 10 percent?! It sure reinforces how much some of these schmucks really care environment or our dirty energy crisis.
So before you jump on the band wagon, let’s look at a bigger picture and examine this “best new thing after sliced bread” from all angles:
Pros:
- Easy access to solar without high initial costs.
- With growing energy costs, this caps your electric bill for the next 15 years.
- Reduced monthly payment than what you would pay PG&E.
Cons:
- 15 year contract which is not easily transferrable if you decide to sell the house. (According to Solar City: “If you sell your home before the end of the lease, you can transfer the lease to the new owners if they qualify with excellent credit, or you can prepay the lease and add it to your home asking price.” That’s 700 and above FICO score.)
- Not for everyone. If your electric bill does not exceed $110 this program makes no sense financially.
- You never own the solar panels. In fact you will have to either return them after 15 years or purchase them from the solar company at the end of the lease.
- Your payments are actually going to go up 3.9% every year.
- You are not the one who gets the rebates for the purchase of solar panels.
- You maybe going off of the PG&E’s grid but you’re sure are tied into Wall Street’s grid.
- Many Home Owner’s Associations will not allow this.
Now at a first glance, this deal sounds very appealing but if you really look, this scheme makes no financial sense. Why? Because you are simply better off buying the panels by financing your payment. You save big time this way!
Perhaps, your biggest conniption should be with the fact that it’s not you who gets the subsidies and rebates, it’s the solar company! By paying lease payments throughout the life of the contract you become a cash cow owned by the solar company. While they get the panels for the fraction of the cost you end up paying a full price and then some. Doesn’t this just kill your mojo?
Here’re some numbers to demonstrate this. This scenario considers a 3.9% increase in your yearly payment throughout the 15 year tem lease:
1st Year Monthly Payment: $110.00 Total per Year: $1,320.00
5th Year Monthly Payment: $128.18 Total per Year: $1,538.16
10th Year Monthly Payment: $155.08 Total per Year: $1,860.96
15th Year Monthly Payment: $187.74 Total per Year: $2,252.88
Total Investment for the life of lease: $26,217!
Ladies and gentlemen, $26,000 is what an average 4KW solar system would cost you today without the 40% rebates that are currently generously offered to you by the state and federal government.
Why lease when you can buy them?
It’s obvious; your best bet is to find a solar company that will give you a good price and a good payment plan. Put a couple grand down and buy the panels yourself. Your monthly payments would still be lower than PG&E’s bill and they would stay the same till the loan is paid off. Once you’re done with your payment plan, you OWN that panels. When all will be said and done, your total investment will be closer to $17,000.
And if you’re strapped on cash, can not afford a down payment and that “0% down” sounds so appealing then it may be a good idea to avoid this dismal deal altogether. We’ve seen this bank trap before, haven’t we?
I’m not against Wallstreet. Being a Realtor, it is very clear to me that we need the banks to extend credit to qualified home buyers and keep small businesses going. Wallstreet is an intrinsic part of this economy. It’s just some of the financing deals that they cook up are so dangerous. This whole solar lease hype is starting to smell like another credit bubble that’s going to enrich the banks and eventually blow up on the rest of us anyway.
I know you want to save the planet. Me too. But let’s not let the big boys take advantage of our sentiment.














Great dissection of the program and problem! Thanks!
I have heard of these programs under various names. One thing I heard is that they will upgrade and replace the panels during those 15 years, if they break or if new technology invented. So they say. I imagine if you buy them, they are obsolete within a few years. New technology being developed every day. Would like to know the pros and cons of that as well.
Great article! I often hear people comment about “emerging technologies” that are going to make today’s solar panels obsolete. What many people don’t realize is that there is a theoretical limit to the amount of energy that can be produced from sunlight. Rigid silicon absorbs about 30% of the bandwidth of light rays emitted by the sun. Today’s highest performance panels are converting close to 20% of the sun’s rays into clean electricity. Thus, theoretically, rigid silicone panels could become up 50% more efficient. A lot of experimentation is going on with materials other than silicone. However, silicone is still the top performer.
Anyway, you don’t need a company like Solar City to guarantee your solar panels for 15 years. In fact, all panel manufacturers are required to guarantee their modules for at least 25 years to qualify for utility rebates and tax credits.
Ah… good insights guys and god questions too. Yesterday I also heard from a fellow USGBC member that when PG&E starts actually paying home owners for the excess power fed back into the grid that it is the solar leasing company that will get the benefit and not the home owner. Seems wrong, because technically it’s the home owner that is feeding the power back, so why should it matter whether the panels are leased or owned? It’d be interesting to find out what’s the real deal with this. Anyone knows?
Actually there is a rental power company that does not take any “excess credits” and guarantees that the production will not be below what is contracted for.
Also no deposits etc up front so it is a win-win-win. Rental is nothing up front, no rate increases, and no surprises. As the field widens there are better solutions out there.
Best wishes
Paul
All,
I’m a solar designer and work with the Sunrun PPA every day. I work for one of the leading installers in San Jose and have many very happy solar customers. I feel it’s necessary to set the record straight and get the right information to readers of sanjosegreenhome.com. Unfortunately, this article leaves out a lot of important details about the benefits of a PPA vs. a Solar Lease and lumps Sunrun in with Solar City. These two products are not the same.
Sunrun’s PPA is a fantastic product that leverages additional incentives for solar when owned by a business, primarily accelerated depreciation on their investment in the panels. Yes, they keep the CSI rebate and the 30% tax credit, but they charge you less than if you purchased cash and kept the rebates. The PPA also provides proactive monitoring, maintenance, insurance and an extended warranty on the solar installation.
80% of my solar customers choose this option vs. a cash purchase. That includes Engineers, CEO’s, CFO’s, VC’s, Bank Managers and everyday hardworking homeowners. Some, who have the ability to pay cash for solar, prepay the agreement and do not experience any financing charges. For those that can’t prepay, the PPA is the only reason they can afford to go solar. I’ve designed systems for low income homeowners in San Francisco that, after rebates, incentives and a PPA, were essentially free to the homeowner.
A couple of comments to address the above:
1 – There is no need to upgrade and / or replace solar panels until they have lived a long, productive life (usually 25-30 years). Photovoltaics degrade about .5% per year. Replacing panels while they are still working would be contrary to sustainable business practices and would ruin the financials of any solar installation. These systems should be built to last.
2 – Usable new solar technology is unfortunately not being developed every day. We hear a lot on the news about interesting lab experiments, but the residential solar marketplace has been and is still best served by a mono-crystalline silicon based photovoltaic. This is the most efficient and cost effective way to harness the photovoltaic effect. If we are always waiting for the next greatest thing, we’ll never make forward progress!
3 – The PPA warranty covers much more than the 25 year limited warranty provided by a solar panel manufacturer. The manufacturer is only providing a warranty for output degradation over time. The manufacturer’s warranty does not include installation, balance of system components (nuts, bolts, wires etc.) or roof damage. The PPA’s does.
4 – The PPA company has no relationship with PG&E. The homeowner pays the PPA separately and the keeps their account with PG&E. After AB 920 goes into effect, any excess power generated by the solar installation will be sold back to PG&E by the homeowner and the homeowner will profit from that.
Please do not view Power Purchase Agreements as a “problem”. To the contrary, they are very much part of the solution. I will not comment on the solar lease …
Hope this helps,
Jamie
Jamie, actually this does help a lot. Thank you so much for a valuable and insightful comment. It nicely clarifies the difference between Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) and solar lease. This is what it’s all about, digging through the facts together.
It will be interesting to see what becomes of the financial part of these products. Case in point Solar City is offering a 15 Year Pre- Paid program on an installed 4.028KW System – Ok Rough Numbers – about 110,000KWH produced in a 15 year lease period – You pay the $8100 upfront and this covers materials, labor soup to nuts – This works out to about 7.5 cents/KWH making a number of rough assumptions (Average 5 Hours of full production – 365 days of the year) you get the picture – Now ..7.5cents/kwh is about 2.5 cents cheaper than PG&E on their baseline cost per KWH – This is GREAT! – So having paid the lease upfront – you nullify any breaking the lease agreement – you are getting the same energy for less – All you have to do is stay in the same house for long enough to recover the $8100 – For someone trading 300% over baseline kwh at 35 cents/kwh for 7.5 cents – it won’t take long – but – I’m a skeptic because salesman will tell you just about anything just to get you to sit down and invest time in something…